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deficits into commanding romney leads. the idea behind it is simple. all polls base the outcome on what pollsters believe the electorate will look like, how many democrats versus how many republicans they think will actually turn out. getting that partisan makeup wrong can tilt the predictions. the people that don't believe the polls say this time, pollsters think the 2012 electorate will look a lot like 2008 and this they say is wrong. notice i said this time. back in 2004, democrats complained that the polls which showed george w. bush leading were overestimating the number of republicans who would vote. they were wrong. the polls were right. now, in 2000 al gore said don't believe the polls. polls showed him losing narrowly. polls were right. in fact, it's hard to find an example of the polls on average getting it wrong unless you go back to 1948, when they predicted thomas dewey defeated president harry truman. cnn political contributor ari fleischer joins us. he's an occasional unpaid communications advisor for the ro
deficits into commanding romney leads. the idea behind it is simple. all polls base the outcome on what pollsters believe the electorate will look like, how many democrats versus how many republicans they think will actually turn out. getting that partisan makeup wrong can tilt the predictions. the people that don't believe the polls say this time, pollsters think the 2012 electorate will look a lot like 2008 and this they say is wrong. notice i said this time. back in 2004, democrats...
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for mitt romney it will be his first. i suppose the question is it is games man ship on most accounts but does it work? >> they're trying to lower expectations. they're trying to make the other side seem fabulous, great debaters if you will. i think everybody is onto what they're saying in advance of the debates. yi thinthey're boso debaters, the prident of the united states, i moderate rated four debates fo yrs ago when he didates and didn't have to do any this cycle because no one was challenging him forhe democratic presidential nomination. i did moderate four last time including that final one-on-on debate that he did with hillary clinton at the kodak theater in los angeles and he is very good and hillary clinton i thought was a better debater and ironically joe biden and chris dodd did really well and the president obviously got the democratic nomination. he is a very solid debater. i moderate rated four republican presidential debates with mitt romney and i have the same feeling about him. very solid. knows his stu
for mitt romney it will be his first. i suppose the question is it is games man ship on most accounts but does it work? >> they're trying to lower expectations. they're trying to make the other side seem fabulous, great debaters if you will. i think everybody is onto what they're saying in advance of the debates. yi thinthey're boso debaters, the prident of the united states, i moderate rated four debates fo yrs ago when he didates and didn't have to do any this cycle because no one was...
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Sep 28, 2012
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beth myers, governor romney's individualer says she -- romney's adviser, blooms. since he won't and can't talk about his record, he will talk about mitt romney. the gloves will come off. megyn: beautiful wayne, p.a. out in oregon today there is new controversy. hundreds of millions in taxpayer dollars in loans about to go to a startup solar company called solopower. many are comparing this to solyndra, the company that went bankrupt, leaving taxpayers on the hook. it's not just this controversy we want to tell you about, but what happened when fox news tried to speak with the company's ceo. dan springer streaming live from solo power in portland, oregon. >> reporter: the ceo refused to answer any of our questions at grand opening yesterday, even after taking questions from other media. solopower is getting lot of money from the government. we wanted to ask him why his company was a better gamble for taxpayers than solyndra or the others. the companies use the same raw materials. they both make thin, light, flexible solar panels that can go object big box store roo
beth myers, governor romney's individualer says she -- romney's adviser, blooms. since he won't and can't talk about his record, he will talk about mitt romney. the gloves will come off. megyn: beautiful wayne, p.a. out in oregon today there is new controversy. hundreds of millions in taxpayer dollars in loans about to go to a startup solar company called solopower. many are comparing this to solyndra, the company that went bankrupt, leaving taxpayers on the hook. it's not just this controversy...
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Sep 25, 2012
09/12
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romney: "it's time to stand up to the cheaters" vo: tough on china? not mitt romney. when a flood of chinese tires threatened a thousand american jobs... it was president obama who stood up to china and protected american workers. mitt romney attacked obama's decision... said standing up to china was "bad for the nation and our workers." how can mitt romney take on the cheaters... when he's taking their side? ♪ [ sighs ] [ bird chirps ] [ bird squawks ] ♪ [ bird screeching ] ♪ [ elevator bell dings ] [ sighs ] how mad is she? she kicked me out. but i took the best stuff. i'll get the wrench. ♪ [ male announcer ] kohler's tresham collection. life. with a twist. ♪ has oats that can help lower cholesterol? and it tastes good? sure does! wow. it's the honey, it makes it taste so... well, would you look at the time... what's the rush? be happy. be healthy. what's the♪rush? (train horn) vo: wherever our trains go, the economy comes to life. norfolk southern. one line, infinite possibilities. . >>> our "starting point," president obama speaks before the world lea
romney: "it's time to stand up to the cheaters" vo: tough on china? not mitt romney. when a flood of chinese tires threatened a thousand american jobs... it was president obama who stood up to china and protected american workers. mitt romney attacked obama's decision... said standing up to china was "bad for the nation and our workers." how can mitt romney take on the cheaters... when he's taking their side? ♪ [ sighs ] [ bird chirps ] [ bird squawks ] ♪ [ bird...
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romn romney. would they drop some of the medicaid programs, would you cover fewer people and say there will be less federal dollars going to it. those are the two fewer differences. >> interesting, mitt romney at times appears to be softening on obama-care and embracing his plan in massachusetts strongly and people are kind of confused about that. has his posture changed? shifted? what? >> that's fair. i've talked to governor romney about this in this past. interesting certainly one of the things he said about massachusetts in order to get universal health care done one of the benefits patients wouldn't have to go to the emergency room where it's the most expensive to get health care, you probably heard the other day, americans do have health care, they can go to an emergency room. that was clearly a bit of shift and tough one to explain. overall, think he's still -- if you ask him, he still believes people should get health care insurance. i think the strategy how he wants to get there is very di
romn romney. would they drop some of the medicaid programs, would you cover fewer people and say there will be less federal dollars going to it. those are the two fewer differences. >> interesting, mitt romney at times appears to be softening on obama-care and embracing his plan in massachusetts strongly and people are kind of confused about that. has his posture changed? shifted? what? >> that's fair. i've talked to governor romney about this in this past. interesting certainly one...
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Sep 28, 2012
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romney: "it's time to stand up to the cheaters" vo: tough on china? not mitt romney. when a flood of chinese tires threatened a thousand american jobs... it was president obama who stood up to china and protected american workers. mitt romney attacked obama's decision... said standing up to china was "bad for the nation and our workers." how can mitt romney take on the cheaters... when he's taking their side? syou know, i've helped a lot off people save a lot of money. but today...( sfx: loud noise of large metal object hitting the ground) things have been a little strange. (sfx: sound of piano smashing) roadrunner: meep meep. meep meep? (sfx: loud thud sound) what a strange place. geico®. fifteen minutes could save you fifteen percent or more on car insurance. i i had pain in my abdomen...g. it just wouldn't go away. i was spotting, but i had already gone through menopause. these symptoms may be nothing... but they could be early warning signs of a gynecologic cancer, such as cervical, ovarian, or uterine cancer. feeling bloated for no reason. that's what i remember
romney: "it's time to stand up to the cheaters" vo: tough on china? not mitt romney. when a flood of chinese tires threatened a thousand american jobs... it was president obama who stood up to china and protected american workers. mitt romney attacked obama's decision... said standing up to china was "bad for the nation and our workers." how can mitt romney take on the cheaters... when he's taking their side? syou know, i've helped a lot off people save a lot of money. but...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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they write, mitt romney wonders why anne romney's airplane windows don't roll down. yahoo, why plane windows don't roll down as romney would like. you tell me if there is a bias against mitt romney. >> they played off the maddow mocking moment. i think if you look at the main streams media which i think is more biased i can remember on these issues, the media has been really quick to decide that this is the end of the mitt romney campaign, 40 days out. and to just start sewing up that coffin. and failed to look at history. in 2000, george w. bush before going into the debates was 8 points down. so it's not a done deal. secondly the media loves to trumpet the mitt romney gaffes or mistakes or misstatement. of course, we haven't stopped hearing about the 47% remark. yet moment when obama says things like, you didn't build it if you built this business, you didn't build it, the media trumpets or takes on the white house talking points and claims that it was taken out of con detective by his critics. if you look at what he said it wasn't taken out of context at all. megy
they write, mitt romney wonders why anne romney's airplane windows don't roll down. yahoo, why plane windows don't roll down as romney would like. you tell me if there is a bias against mitt romney. >> they played off the maddow mocking moment. i think if you look at the main streams media which i think is more biased i can remember on these issues, the media has been really quick to decide that this is the end of the mitt romney campaign, 40 days out. and to just start sewing up that...
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09/12
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ohio is romney's biggest problem. the reason for that is the economy is working in ohio. >> sean: thanks to john kasich. >> and romney is spending a lot of time in florida. he's shown improvements there for the republicans. we'll see. again, it's going to be very close. if the republicans don't win the senate, basically you'll have a
ohio is romney's biggest problem. the reason for that is the economy is working in ohio. >> sean: thanks to john kasich. >> and romney is spending a lot of time in florida. he's shown improvements there for the republicans. we'll see. again, it's going to be very close. if the republicans don't win the senate, basically you'll have a
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romney: "it's time to stand up to the cheaters" vo: tough on china? not mitt romney. when a flood of ese tires threatened a thousand american jobs... it was president obama who stood up to china and protected american workers. mitt romney attacked obama's decision... tanding up to china was "bad for the nation d our workers." how can mitt romney take on the cheaters... when he's taking their side? ♪ [ male announcer ] introducing a stunningk of technolog introducing the entirely new lexus es. and the first-ever es hybrid. this is the pursuit of perfection. and get outstanding deals with the travelocity fall hotel sale. you can save up to 40% on select hotels. so book your hotel now and save up to 40%. hurry, offer ends soon. book now at travelocity. >>> prisoners clash withuards at a dramatic jailbreak in northern q. lisalvester's monitoring that, some of the other top stories in "the situation room" right now. lisa, what happened? >> hi, wolf. lock down.nder they set off car bombs and overtook guards and stole their weapons. this is the aftermath of a riot at the p
romney: "it's time to stand up to the cheaters" vo: tough on china? not mitt romney. when a flood of ese tires threatened a thousand american jobs... it was president obama who stood up to china and protected american workers. mitt romney attacked obama's decision... tanding up to china was "bad for the nation d our workers." how can mitt romney take on the cheaters... when he's taking their side? ♪ [ male announcer ] introducing a stunningk of technolog introducing the...
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Sep 25, 2012
09/12
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the president's views are clear and strong. >>> they are talking and hitting romney on his plan for the economy. during his much criticized appearance on "the view." >> governor romney on 60 men's was asked do60 minutes asked do think it's fair he pays a lower tax rate than somebody making a 50,000 a year. yes i think it's fair that's the way you get even. i have a different vision on growing an economy. i think you grow it from the middle out not from the top down. >>> the president was asked what he would do after the white house he said he would like to work with children. >> so i wonder if it will be a good day for kids to go out and play today. >> time for the first degree weather update with maria molina. >> if you are headed outdoors early this morning across areas of the northeast or great lakes even in the carolinas it will be a little cool out there. make sure you grab the jacket or the sweater. raleigh north carolina very cool out there. 51 over minneapolis as we head northbound warts of carolinas as well. texas still warm out here. 94 will be the high temperature in dallas.
the president's views are clear and strong. >>> they are talking and hitting romney on his plan for the economy. during his much criticized appearance on "the view." >> governor romney on 60 men's was asked do60 minutes asked do think it's fair he pays a lower tax rate than somebody making a 50,000 a year. yes i think it's fair that's the way you get even. i have a different vision on growing an economy. i think you grow it from the middle out not from the top down....
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Sep 26, 2012
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mitt romney. >> sean, we had this conversation. look, the middle east has been burning for 2,000 years. >> bill: not like this. >> are you kidding me? beirut, beirut, beirut under reagan. >> bill: he's going to vegas. >> this is like -- look, we have u.s. assets all around the world. every president's had this kind of situation happen much worse than this one. and this president believes you go get the guy -- it's not bravado, you don't say bring it on, you don't send 200,000 troops in. >> bill: why not? there's four americans dead. >> you find them and kill them. that's what happened with osama bin laden on this watch. it's not words or rhetoric. all this is is garbage rhetoric. >> come on, joe! you're defending the indefensible. >> no, i'm not. >> this president has cost us -- >> the bush doctrine -- >> bill: joe, let me the governor finish a sentence. go ahead, governor. >> joe, this is a critical time. this is a part of the world where a transition was taking place. and we should have been there leading it. we should have been
mitt romney. >> sean, we had this conversation. look, the middle east has been burning for 2,000 years. >> bill: not like this. >> are you kidding me? beirut, beirut, beirut under reagan. >> bill: he's going to vegas. >> this is like -- look, we have u.s. assets all around the world. every president's had this kind of situation happen much worse than this one. and this president believes you go get the guy -- it's not bravado, you don't say bring it on, you don't...
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Sep 29, 2012
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pounding the daylights out of him, and romney's or -- >> sean: i don't get it. i don't know why we're not seeing more pounding by him. do you think it starts next wednesday in colorado? >> sometimes he says positive things about obama. he cares about the middle class. no, barack obama doesn't care about the middle class. if he cared about the middle class, he wouldn't be putting through obama tax hikes on people in the middle class. >> let me just say that next wednesday night, this is it. they need to turn this campaign around. debates are vehicles of challengers. this is his chance to do this. >> sean: we need the mitt romney that showed up after losing south carolina, where he went into that state up double digits, and came out winning by double digits -- i'm sorry -- lost by double digits, then went to florida and had two debates with newt, that's the romney i want. >> the one-on-one debate forum is not necessarily president obama's best either. they've been after him for $700 million on character. the american people get 90 minutes to see whether or not tha
pounding the daylights out of him, and romney's or -- >> sean: i don't get it. i don't know why we're not seeing more pounding by him. do you think it starts next wednesday in colorado? >> sometimes he says positive things about obama. he cares about the middle class. no, barack obama doesn't care about the middle class. if he cared about the middle class, he wouldn't be putting through obama tax hikes on people in the middle class. >> let me just say that next wednesday...
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romney? >> well, it was -- obviously it was a one-on-one conversation. i know a little about it. they talked about what prime minister netanyahu meant about red lines, what his views were on the current state of play with iran. governor romney also sought out the prime minister's views on developments in the arab world. there is this sense of an unraveling going on right now throughout the middle east in many capitals, poses a threat to the united states. it poses real threats to israel on its borders and he just wanted his state of play. understand this is a relationship, piers. prime minister netanyahu and governor romney go back a number of decades. theyorked together in business when they were both graduates from business school. they've kept in touch over the years. so prime minister netanyahu is someone that the governor reaches out to from time to time just to get his perspectives on the region and he certainly felt that given what's going on right now, in addition to the iranian crisi
romney? >> well, it was -- obviously it was a one-on-one conversation. i know a little about it. they talked about what prime minister netanyahu meant about red lines, what his views were on the current state of play with iran. governor romney also sought out the prime minister's views on developments in the arab world. there is this sense of an unraveling going on right now throughout the middle east in many capitals, poses a threat to the united states. it poses real threats to israel...
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we saw a softer message from the romney campaign in that ad. we saw a softer romney on the stump. i would do precisely the opposite. go bigger, bolder, make your case. on the bail-out question. romney hasn't mounted a defense. a great defense to be made there. washington insiderrism, give away to the unions and uaw. he would stop that. president obama engaged in it after he said he'd change washington. arguement to be made there but they're not making it. >> bret: iran's president stirs things up again at the united nations. does your phone give you all day battery life ? droid does. and does it launch apps by voice while learning your voice ? launch cab4me. droid does. keep left at the fork. does it do turn-by-turn navigation ? droid does. with verizon, america's largest 4g lte network, and motorola, droid does. get $100 off select motorola 4g lte smartphones like the droid razr. >> translator: the current abysmal situation of the world and abysmal history are due to the wrong management of the world. the proclaimed center of power who entrusted themselves to the devil. continued
we saw a softer message from the romney campaign in that ad. we saw a softer romney on the stump. i would do precisely the opposite. go bigger, bolder, make your case. on the bail-out question. romney hasn't mounted a defense. a great defense to be made there. washington insiderrism, give away to the unions and uaw. he would stop that. president obama engaged in it after he said he'd change washington. arguement to be made there but they're not making it. >> bret: iran's president stirs...
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Sep 24, 2012
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romney and paul ryan are intensifying their focus on swing states, romney starting today in colorado before joining paul ryan in ohio where a new poll today has president obama breaking past 50%. joining me now, chris cizilla msnbc contributor and managing editor of host politics.com. this is the biggest edge that the president has had in ohio so far. and what does it mean that the romney/ryan campaign are focusing on ohio as well, the president will be going to toledo all roads leading to ohio later this week? >> that's right. look, andrea, what it means is history is close to determinative as it relates to republicans, ohio and the presidency, which is no republican presidential candidate, no republican presidential candidate, has been elected president without winning ohio. i think the bus tour in ohio begins tomorrow with mitt romney and paul ryan is a evidence that they are clearly worried. i've talked to lots of people, so much public polling out there, some showing president obama with almost a double-digit lead. i talked to most people on the republican/democratic side who sa
romney and paul ryan are intensifying their focus on swing states, romney starting today in colorado before joining paul ryan in ohio where a new poll today has president obama breaking past 50%. joining me now, chris cizilla msnbc contributor and managing editor of host politics.com. this is the biggest edge that the president has had in ohio so far. and what does it mean that the romney/ryan campaign are focusing on ohio as well, the president will be going to toledo all roads leading to ohio...
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governor romney said he wouldn't. governor romney said it was tragic that we entered the iraq war. one of the reasons that al qaeda strengthened during the last decade was our focus in iraq. so we are happy to have this debate and we'll have it obviously -- >> was this an intelligence failure? >> no. this was an event obviously, a complex event. we're only talking about a matter of weeks here. so as information was arrived at, as determinations were made, that was shared with the american people. and i think again the focus needs to be how do we make sure that our facilities and ambassadors and our personnel are secure going forward. and that's what the focus is on. >> as you know, the chairman of the homeland security committee has called for susan rice to resign. >> she's done an excellent job for this country and this administration. >> ben ghazi is so bad that the fbi can't even go in and investigate. what about the fact that there are military operations to find ambassador stephens' killers? what is america doing to change the trajectory in libya? >> well, i'm not going to spe
governor romney said he wouldn't. governor romney said it was tragic that we entered the iraq war. one of the reasons that al qaeda strengthened during the last decade was our focus in iraq. so we are happy to have this debate and we'll have it obviously -- >> was this an intelligence failure? >> no. this was an event obviously, a complex event. we're only talking about a matter of weeks here. so as information was arrived at, as determinations were made, that was shared with the...
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i support mitt romney. >> i'm mitt romney, and a prove this message. >> sean: anytime you run an ad and you get more on the other party supporting you, that's got to be a good ad, right, by definition? >> exactly. and what was powerful there is you've got real people. i mean this guy -- the grit on his face, and what they have to go through in mining coal, it was the kind of ad that relates to hard working working class voters, people from places like ohio and michigan. sean, the only question i have, because the ads are powerful right now, and that was a good one, why did they wait till the third week of september to start running that ad? that i don't understand. >> sean: good point, good question. obama, back to class warfare. not one of us attacking romney for his wealth, which let's see if it resonates. i don't think it will. i haven't seen the dials yet. let's take a look. >> i'm barack obama. a prove this message. >> seen these new ads where mitt romney says he's a friend of coal country? this is the guy who wants to keep tax breaks for companies that ship american jobs overseas.
i support mitt romney. >> i'm mitt romney, and a prove this message. >> sean: anytime you run an ad and you get more on the other party supporting you, that's got to be a good ad, right, by definition? >> exactly. and what was powerful there is you've got real people. i mean this guy -- the grit on his face, and what they have to go through in mining coal, it was the kind of ad that relates to hard working working class voters, people from places like ohio and michigan. sean,...
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romney among independents is winning by three points, so if romney's winning the independents and republicans, do you think in a battleground state like florida, he's nine points down? the answer is no. >> okay. that math doesn't actually work out because according to the florida poll, those who say they're most likely going to vote, 36% say they're democrats, 27% republicans and 33% independents, so as you can see, the math that karl rove laid out doesn't cessarhave to so. ere's ing in our panel h and talk about all of the polling here we do at cnn and howt rks. cnn poll one thing you may have heard is that the polls out there are assuminga higher turnout this election than last. a lot of people say that can't be so there wa so much passion and enthusiasm last time around. cnn polls do not ae any higher rnout, which isan important point of clarification. let's brg in ro martin om the democric avlon. that has becoma rallying cry. there have been a lot of carefully constructed polls put thery ose onhe right saying thepolls assume a highe turnout and they call more democrats than publics. so, i
romney among independents is winning by three points, so if romney's winning the independents and republicans, do you think in a battleground state like florida, he's nine points down? the answer is no. >> okay. that math doesn't actually work out because according to the florida poll, those who say they're most likely going to vote, 36% say they're democrats, 27% republicans and 33% independents, so as you can see, the math that karl rove laid out doesn't cessarhave to so. ere's ing in...
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both romney and mitt romney speaking at fundraisers today. romney held one earlier in philadelphia. the president has one later in washington. at a campaign rally last hour at a military acted any many pennsylvania romney hammered away at the president over the economy. >> i have to tell you that i don't know how a single person who goes to this institution could consider voting for the incumbent for president. i say that for this reason. if they want to go in the military, why, he is planning on cutting our military by about $1 trillion over the next decade. if they want to go on to either get a job directly or go on to a four-year college and come out with a gee, you know that 50% of kids coming out of college today can't find a job or a college level job. on both fronts, this president's policies have not worked for the young people of america. >> their first debate happens on wednesday. the romney team is downplaying expectations. romney advisor beth myers distributes this memo explaining why the president is probably going to do better. she says that president obama is one of t
both romney and mitt romney speaking at fundraisers today. romney held one earlier in philadelphia. the president has one later in washington. at a campaign rally last hour at a military acted any many pennsylvania romney hammered away at the president over the economy. >> i have to tell you that i don't know how a single person who goes to this institution could consider voting for the incumbent for president. i say that for this reason. if they want to go in the military, why, he is...